← AGORA HOBBY AMB Store Championship
Fire ArcaneTier 2
at AGORA HOBBY AMB Store Championship
decks
2
(2.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
4-10-1
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.5%
avg ELO -5.9 per match
expected value
41.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1264
· median 1264
· range 1172–1357
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1057
Q1 1178
Q3 1392
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 17.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.4% | -14.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -1.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.9% | -8.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Fire Exia | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Wind Cats | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Jin | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Water Fractal | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Arcane decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
